Summary by TwinMind · 53m 7s
Summary by TwinMind · 53m 7s

The 2000 Presidential Election: A Real Cluster | STUFF YOU SHOULD KNOW

The 2000 Presidential Election: A Real Cluster | STUFF YOU SHOULD KNOW

Stuff You Should Know

Stuff You Should Know

Election Night Coverage and Initial Confusion

  • NBC called Florida for Gore at 7:49 PM Election Day based on exit polling data
  • Other networks followed 15 minutes later
  • Voter News Service (VNS) - shared exit polling service used by all major networks (NBC, ABC, CBS, FOX, CNN, AP)
  • VNS reported data errors: one county showed 43,202 votes instead of 4,320 (extra zero added)
  • 9:55 PM: CNN first to retract Florida call for Gore
  • 2:15 AM: Fox News called Bush winner of Florida and presidency
  • All other networks followed suit

Gore's Near-Concession

  • Gore called Bush to concede after networks called it for Bush
  • Woke wife Tipper and children, kids started crying
  • Got in limo for concession speech in Nashville
  • En route, operative reported Bush's lead dropped from 50,000 to 6,000 votes
  • Gore called Bush again to retract concession
  • Bush response: "You don't have to be snippy about it"
  • Bush cited brother Jeb as Florida governor saying he won
  • Gore replied: "Your younger brother's not the ultimate authority"
  • 4:00 AM: Networks retracted all calls, election undecided

Florida Recount Mechanics

  • Florida law: margin under 0.5% triggers automatic machine recount
  • Actual margin: 0.1% (few hundred votes out of 6 million cast)
  • Florida used punch card voting system in many counties
  • Chad terminology:
    • Dimpled/pregnant chad: indented but fully attached
    • Swinging door chad: two corners attached
    • Hanging chad: one corner attached
  • Florida law: election boards must determine "intent of voter"
  • No statewide rules for chad interpretation

Key Players and Conflicts of Interest

  • Jeb Bush: Florida Governor, George W. Bush's brother
  • Katherine Harris: Florida Secretary of State, co-chair of Bush campaign
  • Bob Butterworth: Florida Attorney General, Gore supporter

Butterfly Ballot Controversy (Palm Beach County)

  • Confusing ballot design with candidates on both sides
  • Bush #1 position, Gore below on left side
  • Pat Buchanan #1 position on right side, but arrows misaligned
  • Buchanan received 4x normal vote percentage in Palm Beach County
  • Estimated thousands of votes intended for Gore went to Buchanan

County-by-County Recount Battles

  • Four counties conducting hand recounts
  • Palm Beach County: Had 10-year policy on chad counting, abandoned during recount for "light test"
  • Miami-Dade County: Initially planned to recount 650,000 ballots, scaled back to 10,750 computer-rejected ballots

Brooks Brothers Riot

  • GOP organized protest at Miami-Dade canvassing board
  • Participants: Washington DC political operatives, not local Floridians
  • Dressed in business suits (hence "Brooks Brothers")
  • Ted Cruz among participants
  • Protesters banged on windows, screamed "voter fraud"
  • Successfully intimidated canvassing board to stop recount
  • Organized by Brad Blakeman

Legal Battles and Supreme Court Intervention

  • Over 50 lawsuits filed by all sides November-December
  • December 8: Florida Supreme Court ruled 4-3 to count "undervotes"
  • December 9: US Supreme Court issued stay to stop hand count
  • Unusual: Supreme Court agreed to hear case without Bush campaign petition
  • Violated federalism principles (state election matters)

Bush v. Gore Supreme Court Decision

  • 7-2 ruling: violated Equal Protection Clause (14th Amendment)
  • 5-4 ruling: no time for recount due to "Safe Harbor" deadline
  • Conservative justices had conflicts of interest:
    • Scalia's son's law firm argued Bush case
    • Clarence Thomas's wife accepting resumes for Bush administration
    • Sandra Day O'Connor wanted to retire, didn't want Gore to pick replacement
  • Gore team failed to argue Bush campaign lacked legal standing
  • Decision included unprecedented warning: "limited to present circumstances"

Aftermath and Autopsy Studies

  • University of Chicago National Opinion Research Center study: more Florida voters attempted to vote for Gore
  • Palm Beach County alone: 2,000 overvotes would have gone to Gore due to ballot design
  • Bush won Florida by 537 votes
  • Gadsden County (only predominantly Black county): 12.4% ballot invalidation rate vs under 1% in other counties
  • Ralph Nader received ~100,000 votes in Florida

Long-term Consequences

  • States moved away from punch card voting systems
  • 2020 election called "most secure in American history" by DHS
  • Electoral College scrutiny increased
  • 2020 Pew poll: 58% support constitutional amendment to eliminate Electoral College
  • Bush v. Gore still cited as precedent despite warning against it