Summary by TwinMind · 15m 59s
Summary by TwinMind · 15m 59s
The Ridiculous Rise and Fall of WeWork
The Ridiculous Rise and Fall of WeWork
The Plain Bagel
The Plain Bagel
WeWork Bankruptcy Filing
- WeWork filed Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection after being valued at $47 billion peak
- $22 billion total invested over lifetime, making it one of biggest VC failures in US history
- Never recorded single year profit despite massive investment
- Company had substantial doubt about ability to continue operations (September quarterly earnings)
- Missed two upcoming interest payments announcement last month
Company Background and Business Model
- Founded 2010 by Adam Neumann and Miguel McKelvie
- Mission: "elevating world's consciousness," solving children without parents, eradicating world hunger
- Core function: lease large office spaces, refurbish, split into micro offices with communal feel
- Lease out with flexible terms at markup to startups/entrepreneurs
- Acting as office middleman
Adam Neumann's Previous Ventures and Character
- Previous failed businesses: collapsible heel, padded baby jeans "Crawlers"
- Slogan: "just because they don't tell you doesn't mean they don't hurt"
- Known for walking office barefoot, partying on private jet, tequila at company events
- Allegedly brought vodka water guns to company retreats
- Aspired to live forever and be "president of the world"
- Wife Rebecca incorporated spirituality, fired people after minutes for "bad energy"
- Charismatic and motivating individual despite eccentric behavior
WeWork's Service Offering
- Offices designed to foster creativity and collaboration
- Premium feel with lavish refurbishments and amenities
- Flexible terms (month-to-month options)
- Great networking opportunities for entrepreneurs/startups
- Free kombucha and beer on tap
Business Model Problems
- Never earned profit due to flippant spending
- Insufficient demand for ambitious growth targets
- 10x location growth from 2015-2019
- Unattractive risk profile: 15+ year leases, month-to-month rentals to customers
- Asymmetry between costs and revenues
- Target customers (startups/entrepreneurs) first to close in recession
- Operating for over decade meant recession inevitable
Venture Capital Success Despite Problems
- Adam convinced VCs WeWork was more than office leasing
- Pitched as "physical social network," "space as a service" (play on software as a service)
- Should be valued as high-growth tech company
- Expansion vision: WeWork, WeLive, WeBike, etc.
- Some tech initiatives: AI system for office space usage insights (mostly unsuccessful)
- Doubled revenues annually leading to 2019
- Growth-at-all-costs strategy inappropriate for office leasing vs. SaaS
Major Investor Support
- Masayoshi Son (SoftBank CEO) invested $8.5 billion over company lifespan
- Reached 528 locations worldwide
- $47 billion valuation in 2019 SoftBank financing round
2019 IPO Attempt Disaster
- Filed S1 form for public listing
- Public markets much less hospitable than private VC
- Filing problems:
- Weird poetic introduction
- Random photo collage
- Staggering losses: operating expenses double revenue annually
- Massive long-term lease liabilities
- Complicated organizational structure
- Shady dealings revealed:
- Leasing properties partly owned by Adam Neumann
- Bought trademark for word "we" from Neumann for $6 million (later reversed)
- Negative response forced IPO postponement
- Adam Neumann pressured to step down
COVID-19 Impact and SPAC Route
- Pandemic hit office space business hard
- Many customers canceled leases, revenue fell
- October 2021: went public via SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company)
- Valuation only $9 billion (80% decline from 2019 peak)
- Federal Reserve interest rate hikes 6 months later further pressured real estate
Current Financial Situation
- Q2 2023: $19 billion liabilities (majority long-term leases)
- Only $15 billion total assets
- Sales slightly down since 2019 despite aggressive capital expenditures
- Portfolio: 800+ properties across 35 countries
Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Process
- Chapter 11 allows continued operations while restructuring
- Respite from liabilities, creditors, landlords
- 90% of bondholders agreed to debt-to-equity conversion
- Already renegotiated 590 leases, wiping out $12.7 billion future rent payments
- Still negotiating with 400 other landlords
- Opportunity to break long-term contracts
- Emerging company will be fraction of previous size
- Public stock down 99%, shares may become worthless
Broader Market Implications
- Commercial real estate already suffering from pandemic
- US office supply 17% vacant
- WeWork one of largest private tenants pulling out
- Exacerbates pain for property owners and financial institutions
- 42% of WeWork occupancy in New York, Boston, San Francisco
- Acute effect expected in these markets
- Financial institutions face losses on commercial real estate loans
Adam Neumann's Post-WeWork Status
- Already launched new startup "Flow"
- $1 billion valuation, $350 million investment despite no operations yet
- Multifamily residential properties promoting community
- Received $16 million settlement payment when laid off
- $185 million non-compete agreement
- Sold shares to VCs for hundreds of millions
- Borrowed $740 million from SoftBank against share value
- Rumors of potential return to helm WeWork through bankruptcy
Broader Economic Lessons
- Consequence of prolonged low interest rates
- Unsustainable companies last longer with low cost of capital
- Investors less diligent when opportunity cost low
- More incentivized to take risks, believe questionable tech company claims
- Rising rates "trim the fat" and expose unsustainable businesses
