Summary by TwinMind · 7m 25s
Summary by TwinMind · 7m 25s

Unpredictability, Undecidability, and Uncomputability

Unpredictability, Undecidability, and Uncomputability

Sabine Hossenfelder

Sabine Hossenfelder

Gödel's Incompleteness Theorem

  • Mathematical theorems prove power of mathematics has limits
  • Gödel's theorem: if consistent axioms sufficiently complex, can formulate undecidable statements
  • Mathematics incomplete - can't know if certain statements right/wrong
  • Irrelevant for scientific practice
    • Can extend axioms with additional axiom declaring undecidable statement true/false
    • Physics theories = mathematical axioms + prescription for identifying structures with measurable quantities
    • Undecidable statements resolved by measurement, then add axiom agreeing with outcome
    • If no observable consequences, can ignore statement

Uncomputable Functions

  • Mathematically irrelevant for different reason
  • Problem: always involves something infinite
  • Nothing real is infinite - theorems don't apply to nature
  • Turing's halting problem example:
    • Algorithm either halts at finite time or doesn't
    • No meta-algorithm exists to determine if another algorithm halts
    • Works for infinitely large class of algorithms
    • Reality never needs algorithm answering infinitely many questions
  • Wang tiling problem:
    • Squares with different colored sides
    • Question: can tile infinite plane without gaps, adjacent colors match?
    • Undecidable for arbitrary sets
    • Never need to tile infinite planes in practice
  • Most real numbers uncomputable
    • No algorithm approximates them to finite precision in finite time
    • Science deals with finitely many digits + error bars
    • Mathematical curiosity, no scientific relevance

Unpredictability in Science

  • Quantum mechanics: unpredictable element by postulate (uninteresting)
  • Chaotic systems more interesting:
    • Even knowing initial conditions arbitrarily precisely
    • Can only predict for finite time
    • Unclear if happens in real world systems
  • Navier-Stokes equation:
    • Used for weather forecasting
    • Whether leads to unpredictable situations = Clay Institute millennium problem
    • Even if proven unpredictable, tells little about nature
    • Only approximation - fluids actually particles described by quantum mechanics
    • Quantum mechanics lacks chaotic unpredictability
    • Maybe quantum mechanics itself not ultimate theory

General Problem with Impossibility Theorems

  • Can never know if mathematical assumptions in physics truly correct
  • May be replaced by better theories
  • Physics = science, not mathematics
  • Use mathematics because it works, not because nature is mathematics

Practical Relevance for Science

  • Theorems relevant for science but not because they reveal nature's deep truths
  • Relevant because we use theories with these properties in practice
  • Tell us what we can do with our theories
  • Navier-Stokes example:
    • Not fundamentally right for weather prediction
    • Currently used equation
    • Knowing when unpredictable situation coming matters
    • Want to know when unpredictability approaching to avoid it
  • Nuclear fusion plasma application:
    • Plasma develops instabilities damaging containment vessel
    • Must shut down fusion process quickly
    • Makes fusion inefficient
    • Better understanding unpredictable situations could prevent them
  • Financial system applications possible

Essay Contest Information

  • Essay submitted to Foundational Questions Institute contest
  • Topic: unpredictability, undecidability, uncomputability
  • All essays available at FQI website
  • Submission deadline: March 16th