Summary by TwinMind · 11m 35s
Summary by TwinMind · 11m 35s

Why Investors are Angry About Bed Bath & Beyond ($BBBY)

Why Investors are Angry About Bed Bath & Beyond ($BBBY)

The Plain Bagel

The Plain Bagel

Bed Bath & Beyond Stock Rally and Crash

  • BBBY stock surged 360% from end of July to August 17th over half-month period
  • Stock then declined very quickly, causing drama in retail investing community
  • Company is struggling retailer losing revenue since 2018
  • Short interest was 42.6% as of July (much higher in early 2021)
  • Part of 2022 meme stock renaissance recovering from January 2021 peaks

Ryan Cohen's Role and Timeline

  • Chair of GameStop, key figure in meme stock movement
  • Owned 10% of BBBY float, brought 3 appointees to board
  • Purchased position early 2022 with revolutionary promises
  • Filed Schedule 13D in March 2022 disclosing:
    • 7.78 million shares
    • Out-of-the-money call options
    • Total ~10% ownership

Key Filing Timeline

  • August 16th: Filed 13D amendment confirming big position still held
  • Stock rallied 78.2% from Friday to Wednesday close
  • August 17th (after market close): Filed Form 144 notice of proposed sale
  • August 18th: Filed 13D amendment revealing all shares sold on 16th-17th
  • Same day he filed confirming ownership, he actually sold major portion

Pump and Dump Allegations

  • Stock dropped 60% from $28 peak after Cohen sale disclosure
  • Cohen's average cost basis: $15.34 per share
  • Accusations of market manipulation through misleading filings
  • Filed ownership confirmation same day as major sales
  • News of sale didn't circulate until following day after positions closed
  • Calls for SEC investigation into potential securities violations

Current Market Environment vs 2021

  • Rising interest rates and quantitative tightening
  • Reduces share valuations, discourages speculation
  • Higher cost of capital for investors
  • Culling of weak businesses with high debt loads
  • Fundamentally different from January 2021 environment

Meme Stock Investment Risks

  • Dependence on influencer tweets and social media sentiment
  • People begging Cohen on Twitter for positive BBBY statements
  • Fragile, finicky nature of meme stock movements
  • Representative bias from success stories
    • 20-year-old made millions but started with $20M position
    • Not representative of average investor experience

Short Squeeze Misconceptions

  • SEC reports show GameStop surge mostly from long positions, not short covering
  • Short covering activity minimal compared to retail buying
  • Hedge funds likely benefited more than retail investors
  • Current short interest less relevant than believed

Investment Philosophy Warnings

  • Past price surges not valid reason to buy positions
  • Speculative nature makes positions unpredictable
  • Gambling approach unreliable for financial security
  • Companies don't reciprocate investor loyalty
  • Grounded investment approach recommended over speculation